Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez
Osauna logo

Tenerife
1 - 2
Osasuna

Leon (45')
Moreno (55'), Rodriguez (80'), Bodiger (85'), Alassan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Herrando (7'), Leon (25' og.)
Moncayola (43'), Boyomo (48'), Budimir (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Tenerife and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Tenerife
Sunday, December 22 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
TenerifeDrawOsasuna
40.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)29.76% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)30.22% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 41.96% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.07% (0.15 0.15)64.93% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.16% (0.106 0.11)83.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.058000000000007 0.06)31.79% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.065000000000001 0.07)68.22% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52% (0.145 0.14)38.48% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.77% (0.137 0.14)75.23% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tenerife 40.01%
    Osasuna 30.22%
    Draw 29.75%
TenerifeDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 14.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 12.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.75%
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Tenerife vs Osasuna

Tenerife
20.0%
Osasuna
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 31
Tenerife
3-2
Osasuna
Garcia (62' og.), Lopez (79', 84')
Hernandez (6'), dos Santos (20'), Perez (47'), Coniglio (66'), Santana (85')
Ibanez (26'), Brandon (28')
Merida (64'), Garcia (74')
Nov 17, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 14
Osasuna
2-0
Tenerife
Villar (10'), Oier (45')
Oier (53'), Hernandez (90')

Naranjo (41'), Aveldano (45')
Apr 1, 2018 3pm
Osasuna
0-1
Tenerife

Torro (18'), Lillo (90')
Acosta (55')
Longo (58'), Acosta (66')
Oct 29, 2017 7.30pm
Tenerife
0-0
Osasuna
Vitolo (89'), Tyronne (90')
Sanjurjo (56'), Herrera (57'), Fausto (57'), Aridane (68'), Arzura (70'), Garcia (90'), De las Cuevas (90'), Xisco (90')