Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
54.98% ( -0.05) | 22.45% ( -0.01) | 22.57% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.33% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.9% ( 0.13) | 42.1% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.5% ( 0.13) | 64.5% ( -0.12) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% ( 0.03) | 15.23% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.12% ( 0.05) | 43.89% ( -0.05) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.63% ( 0.13) | 32.37% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.11% ( 0.14) | 68.89% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.98% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |