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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Troyes

Nantes
2 - 2
Troyes

Pallois (25'), Guessand (90+6')
Centonze (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Balde (64' pen.), Odobert (90+2')
Agoume (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-0 Troyes

Nantes are in awful league form and have a huge distraction on their minds with the cup final to come, but are arguably facing the perfect opponents right now. Troyes have drawn a blank in six of their last seven Ligue 1 fixtures against Nantes, and with senior players seemingly giving up the ghost, ESTAC's fate seems settled. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawTroyes
52.74% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 24.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 23.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.028999999999996 0.03)49.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.026 0.03)71.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.69% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 52.74%
    Troyes 23.04%
    Draw 24.21%
NantesDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.74%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Nantes vs Troyes

Nantes
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Troyes
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 2pm
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 28
Troyes
1-0
Nantes
Ugbo (43')
Conte (47')

Simon (63')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Troyes
Girotto (58'), Blas (69' pen.)
Castelletto (45+1'), Chirivella (90+1')

Rodrigues (66'), Chadli (83')
Mar 10, 2018 7pm
Aug 19, 2017 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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