Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Troyes |
52.74% ( 0.01) | 24.21% ( -0.01) | 23.04% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.75% ( 0.03) | 49.25% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% ( 0.03) | 71.31% ( -0.03) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( 0.01) | 18.63% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.07% ( 0.02) | 49.93% ( -0.02) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( 0.02) | 35.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% ( 0.02) | 72.69% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.74% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |