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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Pukki (56')
Arriaga (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marie (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes

With just three points separating Minnesota United and San Jose, we anticipate an action-packed contest at Allianz Field as both sides look to strengthen their stake for a playoff spot. Given the stakes of the game, we predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and settle for a share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
63.96% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 20.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 15.79% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.308 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (-0.299 -0.3)42.56% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (-0.299 -0.3)64.96% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)12.62% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.26% (-0.148 -0.15)38.74% (0.151 0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.302 -0.3)39.89% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.279 -0.28)76.55% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 63.95%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.79%
    Draw 20.25%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 10.41% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.44% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.84% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 63.95%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 15.79%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
Mar 20, 2022 12am
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 26
Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota Utd

Lopez (90+4')
Cardoso (21')
Trapp (22')
Taylor (82'), Dibassy (89')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Earthquakes

Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93421714313
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas9225912-38
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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