Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
53.81% ( -0.61) | 23.09% ( 0.2) | 23.1% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 55.82% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.59% ( -0.43) | 44.41% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( -0.42) | 66.79% ( 0.43) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( -0.37) | 16.45% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.87% ( -0.67) | 46.13% ( 0.68) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( 0.13) | 33.19% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% ( 0.14) | 69.8% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |