UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2025 at 2pm UK

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Georgia
6 - 1
Armenia

(Georgia win 9-1 on aggregate)

Haroyan (4'), Mikautadze (14', 35'), Chakvetadze (23'), Kiteishvili (27'), Kvaratskhelia (62')
Kashia (67')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Sevikyan (48')
Muradyan (43'), Sevikyan (64'), Grigoryan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Georgia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions

Last Game: Armenia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Armenia

All competitions

Last Game: Armenia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
Georgia	Draw	Armenia
42.57% ( 0.05)	24.79% ( 0.01)	32.64% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.6% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51% (

-0.05)

45.49% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18% (

-0.05)

67.82% (

0.05)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

21.4% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6% (

54.4% (

-0)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29% (

-0.06)

26.71% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.03% (

-0.08)

61.97% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Georgia 42.57%

Armenia 32.64%

Draw 24.79%

Georgia	Draw	Armenia
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.64%