Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Georgia win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.