UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Tarczynski Arena

Ukraine
1 - 1
Czech Republic

Dovbyk (53' pen.)
Kryskiv (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cerv (18')
Chory (64'), Cerv (89'), Lingr (90+5'), Kliment (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Czech Republic

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Czech Republic 2-0 Albania
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Czech Republic
27.28% ( -0.07)	26.44% ( 0.02)	46.28% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

-0.1)

54.75% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

-0.08)

76.07% (

0.08)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.74% (

-0.11)

35.25% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

-0.12)

72.01% (

0.11)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0.02)

23.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-0.02)

57.71% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ukraine 27.28%

Czech Republic 46.27%

Draw 26.43%

Ukraine	Draw	Czech Republic
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.28%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.27%