Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Albania had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.