MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 13:56:31| >> :60:3216:3216:
Ukraine national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Epet Arena
Albania national football team

Ukraine
1 - 2
Albania

Konoplya (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ismajli (54'), Asani (66')
Asani (68'), Strakosha (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Spain
Monday, June 24 at 8pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21

We said: Ukraine 2-1 Albania

Albania showed over the summer that they are no pushovers and can frustrate the bigger nations on their day, so they have reason to be optimistic heading into Saturday's clash with Ukraine. Having said that, we feel that the Blue and Yellow will find a way to claim maximum points from a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Albania had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawAlbania
44.85% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 27.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 27.56% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.37% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)58.8% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)79.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)26.13% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.116 -0.12)61.19% (0.115 0.12)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)37.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74.01% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 44.85%
    Albania 27.56%
    Draw 27.59%
UkraineDrawAlbania
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Albania

Ukraine
68.5%
Draw
18.9%
Albania
12.6%
127
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Albania
1-4
Ukraine
Ndoj (89')
Konoplyanka (31', 90'), Yarmolenko (36', 45')
rhs 2.0
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