UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Epet Arena

Ukraine
1 - 2
Albania

Konoplya (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ismajli (54'), Asani (66')
Asani (68'), Strakosha (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	3	1	4
2	Belgium	3	1	4
3	Slovakia	3	0	4
4	Ukraine	3	-2	4

Albania

All competitions

Last Game: Albania 0-1 Spain
Monday, June 24 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	5	9
2	Italy	3	0	4
3	Croatia	3	-3	2
4	Albania	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Albania had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Albania
44.85% ( -0.08)	27.59% ( 0.03)	27.56% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.37% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2% (

-0.1)

58.8% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68% (

-0.08)

79.31% (

0.07)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

-0.09)

26.13% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

-0.12)

61.19% (

0.12)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.77% (

-0.01)

37.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99% (

-0.01)

74.01% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ukraine 44.85%

Albania 27.56%

Draw 27.59%

Ukraine	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.85%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.56%