UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Sinobo stadium

Czech Republic
3 - 2
Ukraine

Sulc (21', 45+2'), Soucek (80' pen.)
Krejci (47'), Vitik (48'), Cerny (54'), Soucek (64'), Zeleny (68')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vanat (37'), Sudakov (84')
Sudakov (70'), Yaremchuk (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Czech Republic and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Georgia 4-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	Turkey	3	0	6
3	Georgia	3	0	4
4	Czech Republic	3	-2	1

Ukraine

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Ukraine 1-2 Albania
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	3	1	4
2	Belgium	3	1	4
3	Slovakia	3	0	4
4	Ukraine	3	-2	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	Ukraine
54.18% ( -0.63)	23.76% ( 0.2)	22.06% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 52.32% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

-0.34)

48.42% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

-0.31)

70.55% (

0.31)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

-0.36)

17.77% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.52% (

-0.62)

48.47% (

0.62)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.62% (

0.23)

36.37% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.84% (

0.23)

73.16% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 54.17%

Ukraine 22.06%

Draw 23.76%

Czech Republic	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.17%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.06%