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UEFA Nations League

Albania national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Georgia national football team

Albania
0 - 1
Georgia


Uzuni (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kochorashvili (71')
Kiteishvili (84'), Chakvetadze (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Albania and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-2 Albania
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Georgia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 4-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawGeorgia
62.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.43% (0.058 0.06)16.43% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.348 -0.35)46.54% (0.348 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-0.329 -0.33)68.81% (0.32900000000001 0.33)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.11 -0.11)14.41% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67% (-0.215 -0.21)42.33% (0.215 0.22)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52% (-0.286 -0.29)41.47% (0.28599999999999 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02% (-0.253 -0.25)77.98% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Albania 62.13%
    Georgia 16.43%
    Draw 21.43%
AlbaniaDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 11.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 62.13%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.43%
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.43%

How you voted: Albania vs Georgia

Albania
34.0%
Draw
9.5%
Georgia
56.5%
262
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2022 5pm
International Friendly
Albania
0-0
Georgia
Cekici (29'), Hysaj (71')
Chabradze (30'), Kverkvelia (51'), Mamardashvili (80')