Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.