UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Tose Proeski Arena

N. Macedonia
2 - 0
Armenia

Bardhi (70'), Miovski (79')
Elmas (39'), Zajkov (44'), Miovski (45+5'), Serafimov (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tiknizyan (55'), Zelarayan (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between North Macedonia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-1 N. Macedonia
Saturday, September 7 at 2pm in Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	8	18	20
2	Italy	8	7	14
3	Ukraine	8	3	14
4	North Macedonia	8	-10	8
5	Malta	8	-18	0

Armenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Armenia 4-1 Latvia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Armenia
51.93% ( -0.05)	24.79% ( -0.02)	23.27% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63% (

0.12)

51.37% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

0.11)

73.19% (

-0.1)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

0.03)

19.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19% (

0.04)

51.81% (

-0.04)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

0.13)

36.88% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33% (

0.13)

73.67% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 51.93%

Armenia 23.27%

Draw 24.78%

North Macedonia	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 51.93%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.27%