Nations League
Oct 10, 2024 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadions Skonto
  • Andrejs Cigaņiks 43' yellowcard
  • goal Jani Atanasov 35'
  • yellowcard Bojan Dimoski 61'
  • goal Lirim Qamili 70'
  • yellowcard Milan Ristovski 81'
  • goal Eljif Elmas 90'+3'

Latvia vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
Latvia 1 - 0 Faroe Islands

North Macedonia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
N. Macedonia 2 - 0 Armenia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 45.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result

Latvia 45.84% (-1.31)
Draw 27.09% (-0.20)
North Macedonia 27.08% (+1.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.44% (+1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.72% (+1.57)
Under 2.5 57.28% (-1.56)
Over 3.5 21.88% (+1.23)
Under 3.5 78.12% (-1.23)
Over 4.5 9.44% (+0.73)
Under 4.5 90.56% (-0.73)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 75.05% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.95% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 40.42% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 59.58% (-0.09)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 63.21% (+2.16)
Under 0.5 36.79% (-2.15)
Over 1.5 26.42% (+2.09)
Under 1.5 73.58% (-2.09)

Score analysis

Latvia 45.83%
Draw 27.08%
North Macedonia 27.08%
Latvia
1-0 @ 12.74% (-0.75)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.51)
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.18% (-0.56)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.27)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.08%
North Macedonia
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.37% (+0.37)
0-2 @ 4.59% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.12% (+0.24)
0-3 @ 1.53% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.47% (+0.17)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.08%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 9, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Vladimirs Kamess 43' yellowcard
  • Vitalijs Maksimenko 47' yellowcard
  • Janis Ikaunieks 53' yellowcard
  • Ritvars Rugins 67' yellowcard
  • goal Goran Pandev 14'
  • goal Enis Bardhi 17'
  • yellowcard Egzon Bejtulai 37'
  • yellowcard Enis Bardhi 69'
  • yellowcard Arijan Ademi 85'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 21, 2019 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ezgjan Alioski 11' goal
  • Eljif Elmas 29' goal
  • Eljif Elmas 93' goal
  • yellowcard Andrejs Ciganiks 60'
  • goal Darko Velkovski 87' (OG)
  • redcard Andrejs Ciganiks 91'