Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 2.00pm
6
1
HT : 5 0
FT Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
  • Varazdat Haroyan 4' goal
  • Georges Mikautadze 14' goal
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 23' goal
  • Otar Kiteishvili 27' goal
  • Georges Mikautadze 35' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 62' goal
  • Guram Kashia 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergey Muradyan 43'
  • goal Edgar Sevikyan 48'
  • yellowcard Edgar Sevikyan 64'
  • yellowcard Narek Grigoryan 83'

Georgia vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 5.00pm
Armenia 0 - 3 Georgia

Armenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 5.00pm
Armenia 0 - 3 Georgia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result

Georgia 42.57% (+0.05)
Draw 24.79% (+0.01)
Armenia 32.64% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.6% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.51% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.49% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 32.18% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 67.82% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.21% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.79% (+0.04)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5 78.6% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.4% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.4% (-0.01)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 73.29% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 26.71% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.03% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.97% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Georgia 42.57%
Draw 24.79%
Armenia 32.64%
Georgia
2-1 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.79%
Armenia
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.64%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nika Kvekveskiri 18'
  • goal Giorgi Kochorashvili 32'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 37'
  • yellowcard Otar Kakabadze 51'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 59'
Nations League
Nov 15, 2020 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Valeri Qazaishvili 65' goal
  • Giorgi Aburjania 76' yellowcard
  • goal Gevorg Ghazaryan 33'
  • yellowcard Artak Grigoryan 35'
  • goal Sargis Adamyan 86'
Nations League
Oct 11, 2020 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Khoren Bayramyan 6' goal
  • Varazdat Haroyan 47' yellowcard
  • Khoren Bayramyan 68' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 88' goal
  • Edgar Babayan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Nika Katcharava 46'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Navalovski 54'
  • yellowcard Jaba Kankava 71'
  • goal Tornike Okriashvili 74'
  • yellowcard Murtaz Daushvili 88'