Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.