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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Armenia national football team
Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 5pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Georgia national football team

Armenia
0 - 3
Georgia


Hambardzumyan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kochorashvili (32'), Mikautadze (37', 59')
Kvekveskiri (18'), Kakabadze (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Armenia and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Armenia
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Nations League

Georgia

All competitions
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 Georgia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Armenia 1-2 Georgia

 Georgia have shown that they are capable of performing against top opposition, both in the European Championship and in their Nations League campaign. Armenia can consider themselves somewhat fortunate to be in a promotion playoff, but there is an element of unpredictability about them, given that they have a new head coach. We think that this match will be a close one, and that Georgia will take an advantage with them into the return leg at the weekend, and 2-1 should be enough for them to see the job through on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawGeorgia
55.33% (-0.175 -0.17) 23.56% (-0.345 -0.34) 21.11% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.63% (1.8 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (2.016 2.02)48.68% (-2.02 -2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (1.805 1.81)70.79% (-1.81 -1.81)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.676 0.68)17.45% (-0.681 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (1.171 1.17)47.91% (-1.175 -1.18)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (1.679 1.68)37.45% (-1.682 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (1.611 1.61)74.24% (-1.615 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 55.32%
    Georgia 21.11%
    Draw 23.56%
ArmeniaDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 11.4% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-0 @ 9.96% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.204 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.126 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.251 0.25)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 21.11%

How you voted: Armenia vs Georgia

Armenia
23.7%
Draw
14.9%
Georgia
61.4%
114
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2020 5pm
League C
Georgia
1-2
Armenia
Qazaishvili (65' pen.)
Aburjania (76')
Ghazaryan (33'), Adamyan (86')
Grigoryan (35')
Oct 11, 2020 5pm
League C
Armenia
2-2
Georgia
Bayramyan (6'), Mkhitaryan (88')
Haroyan (47'), Bayramyan (68'), Babayan (90+1')
Katcharava (46'), Okriashvili (74')
Navalovski (54'), Kankava (71'), Daushvili (88')
rhs 2.0
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