UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2025 at 5pm UK

Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht

Armenia
0 - 3
Georgia

(Georgia win 9-1 on aggregate)

Hambardzumyan (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kochorashvili (32'), Mikautadze (37', 59')
Kvekveskiri (18'), Kakabadze (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Armenia and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions

Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Armenia
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

Georgia

All competitions

Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 Georgia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
Armenia	Draw	Georgia
55.33% ( -0.17)	23.56% ( -0.34)	21.11% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

2.02)

48.68% (

-2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

1.81)

70.79% (

-1.81)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

0.68)

17.45% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.09% (

1.17)

47.91% (

-1.18)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54% (

1.68)

37.45% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.76% (

1.61)

74.24% (

-1.62)

Score Analysis

Armenia 55.32%

Georgia 21.11%

Draw 23.56%

Armenia	Draw	Georgia
1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.71) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.65% Total : 55.32%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.11%