MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 10:51:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 10am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
FC Tokyo

Jebali (25', 29'), Handa (60')
Kurokawa (45+3'), Jebali (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tsukagawa (90+2')
Higashi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and FC Tokyo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-3 Yokohama
Saturday, June 3 at 7am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 2-1 FC Tokyo

 Although they suffered a surprise cup defeat in midweek, Gamba Osaka have won their last two home league games, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory over a Tokyo side who have lost three of their previous four away matches in the top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
43.81% (-0.498 -0.5) 27.56% (0.119 0.12) 28.63% (0.376 0.38)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.78% (-0.258 -0.26)58.21% (0.255 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.14% (-0.203 -0.2)78.86% (0.19999999999999 0.2)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.375 -0.38)26.39% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.501 -0.5)61.54% (0.497 0.5)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (0.15900000000001 0.16)36.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (0.163 0.16)72.82% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 43.81%
    FC Tokyo 28.63%
    Draw 27.56%
Gamba OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.51% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.63%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo

Gamba Osaka
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
FC Tokyo
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 11am
gameweek 29
Gamba Osaka
0-0
FC Tokyo
Apr 29, 2022 11am
gameweek 10
FC Tokyo
2-0
Gamba Osaka
Adailton (38'), Leandro (65')
Abe (34'), Slowik (90+5')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
gameweek 25
Gamba Osaka
0-0
FC Tokyo

Kurata (57')

Aoki (37'), Leandro (82')
May 22, 2021 11am
gameweek 15
FC Tokyo
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Oliveira (1')

Suganuma (80')
Oct 10, 2020 6am
gameweek 26
FC Tokyo
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Ademilson (41' pen.)
Young-gwon (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cerezo OsakaCerezo10541159619
2Machida Zelvia106131310319
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima10460167918
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe10523147717
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers105141211116
6Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus105141010016
7Yokohama F MarinosYokohama94321411315
8FC Tokyo104331715215
9Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1043399015
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa104241413114
11Kashiwa ReysolReysol935187114
12Jubilo Iwata104151513213
13Avispa Fukuoka1026289-112
14Albirex Niigata10334912-312
15Tokyo Verdy101721213-110
16Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki102351213-19
17Kyoto Sanga10235813-59
18Sagan Tosu102261219-78
19Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare101451420-67
20Consadole SapporoConsadole10145920-117
> J1 League Full Table


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