Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Newcastle

Munoz (90+4')
Lerma (59'), Guehi (87'), Mitchell (88'), Glasner (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guehi (53' og.)
Gordon (53'), Willock (64'), Wilson (89')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 West Ham
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Newcastle United
31% ( 0)	23.16% ( 0.02)	45.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.69% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.52% (

-0.09)

38.49% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

-0.09)

60.78% (

0.1)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

-0.04)

24.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31% (

-0.06)

58.7% (

0.06)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.83% (

-0.04)

17.17% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.58% (

-0.08)

47.42% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 31%

Newcastle United 45.85%

Draw 23.16%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 45.85%