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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Nashville

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
Nashville

Agyemang (52')
Vargas (76'), Smalls (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyd (22'), Lovitz (56'), Davis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Portland
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Nashville SC

Nashville's struggle to keep clean sheets could prove to be problematic against Charlotte, but captain Zimmerman could be key to marshalling their defence. On the other hand, Charlotte have had difficulties in front of goal, and it remains to be seen whether their recent increased output is reflective of genuine, sustained improvement under Dean Smith. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
47.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.46% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)50.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)72.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.046999999999997 0.05)32.87% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.15%
    Nashville SC 27.46%
    Draw 25.39%
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Nashville

Charlotte FC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Nashville
2-1
Charlotte FC
Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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