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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
51.16% ( -2.42) | 25.48% ( 0.96) | 23.36% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 48.71% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( -2.31) | 53.96% ( 2.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% ( -1.97) | 75.41% ( 1.97) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% ( -1.89) | 21.12% ( 1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.04% ( -3.03) | 53.96% ( 3.03) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.75% ( 0.11) | 38.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( 0.1) | 75% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |