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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
3 - 2
River Plate

Di Cesare (11'), Gondou (44', 57')
Villalba (40'), Redondo (74')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Palavecino (27'), Barco (41')
Diaz (34'), Kranevitter (43'), Aliendro (45+1'), Perez (82')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
39.46% (0.39 0.39) 25.87% (-0.12 -0.12) 34.67% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 54.5% (0.365 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.48699999999999 0.49)49.75% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.436 0.44)71.75% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (0.431 0.43)24.81% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61% (0.596 0.6)59.39% (-0.595 -0.59)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.070999999999998 0.07)27.52% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.094000000000001 0.09)63.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 39.46%
    River Plate 34.67%
    Draw 25.86%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.67%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Borja (50' pen.), Barco (71' pen.)
Oct 3, 2022 12.30am
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
4-2
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (6'), Fernandez (9'), Quintero (67' pen.), Herrera (89')
Avalos (39'), Villalba (50')
Florentin (12'), Villalba (24'), Torren (26'), Galarza (90+2')
Torren (65')
Oct 25, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
River Plate
3-0
Argentinos Jrs
Zuculini (28'), Alvarez (57'), Romero (59')
Diaz (38')

Mac Allister (8'), Minissale (42')
Jul 22, 2021 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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