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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 35.04% | 25.89% | 39.07% |
| Both teams to score 54.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% | 49.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% | 71.81% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% | 25.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% | 59.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.07% |