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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Exeter City

Swindon
1 - 2
Exeter

Tomlinson (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (84'), Dieng (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
35.04%25.89%39.07%
Both teams to score 54.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18%49.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19%71.81%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.72%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 35.04%
    Exeter City 39.07%
    Draw 25.89%
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.07%

rhs 2.0


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