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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Barrow |
| 32.27% | 26.7% | 41.03% |
| Both teams to score 51.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.29% | 53.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% | 31.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% | 67.32% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% | 25.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% | 60.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.02% |