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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two
Jun 18, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Exeter City

Colchester
1 - 0
Exeter

Bramall (81')
Pell (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Law (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Cohen Bramall curled in a set- piece with nine minutes remaining.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two playoff semi-final first leg between Colchester United and Exeter City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawExeter City
40.71%26.96%32.34%
Both teams to score 50.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28%54.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96%76.04%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52%31.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13%67.87%
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.7%
    Exeter City 32.34%
    Draw 26.96%
Colchester UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.34%