League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4

Mar 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Richmond Park

St Patrick's
1 - 0
Shamrock

Forrester (54')
Burns (69'), Doyle (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Shamrock Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Shelbourne
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Next Game: St Patrick's vs. Bohemians
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Dundalk	16	11	28
4	St Patrick's Athletic	17	6	25
5	Sligo Rovers	17	2	22

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: UCD 0-3 Shamrock
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Next Game: Drogheda vs. Shamrock
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shamrock Rovers	17	20	39
2	Derry City	17	16	32
3	Dundalk	16	11	28

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
30.99%	27.49%	41.52%

Both teams to score 48.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.91%

57.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.03%

77.97%

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35%

33.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69%

70.31%

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92%

27.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54%

62.46%

Score Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 30.99%

Shamrock Rovers 41.52%

Draw 27.48%

St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.99%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 11.9% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.52%