Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 19
Feb 6, 2024 at 4.45pm UK
Szusza Ferenc Stadion

Ujpest
1 - 2
Debrecen

Morschel (90+11' pen.)
Mack (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Domingues (78', 90+3')
Lagator (68')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Ujpest and Debrecen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ujpest

All competitions
Last Game: MTK 3-0 Ujpest
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I

Debrecen

All competitions
Last Game: Debrecen 2-2 Diosgyor
Saturday, February 3 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.

Result
UjpestDrawDebrecen
32.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.35%
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.27% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (-0.012 -0.01)71.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Ujpest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.08% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)57.71% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ujpest 32.98%
    Debrecen 41.35%
    Draw 25.67%
UjpestDrawDebrecen
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.98%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.35%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 8
Debrecen
1-2
Ujpest
Kusnyir (74')
Ferenczi (21'), Kiziridis (45+1'), Bodi (84')
Lagator (13')
Morschel (80', 88')
Mack (53'), Ganea (90+2')