Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for MTK had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a MTK win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
MTK	Draw	Ferencvaros
16.48% ( 0.41)	20.93% ( 0.27)	62.58% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71% (

-0.45)

44.29% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

-0.44)

66.66% (

0.44)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94% (

0.25)

40.06% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

0.23)

76.7% (

-0.23)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

-0.35)

13.56% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.35% (

-0.7)

40.64% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

MTK 16.48%

Ferencvaros 62.58%

Draw 20.93%

MTK	Draw	Ferencvaros
1-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.48%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.93%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.22% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 3.61% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.94% Total : 62.58%