Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for MTK had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
Fehervar	Draw	MTK
46.78% ( 0.15)	24.3% ( -0.02)	28.92% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.37% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.06% (

0.04)

44.94% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

0.04)

67.3% (

-0.03)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

0.08)

19.33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9% (

0.13)

51.1% (

-0.12)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.06)

28.89% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24% (

-0.08)

64.76% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Fehervar 46.78%

MTK 28.92%

Draw 24.29%

Fehervar	Draw	MTK
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.78%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.92%