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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Stan Robinson Stadium

Willand Rovers
1 - 0
Brixham

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Willand Rovers and Brixham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willand Rovers

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Last Game: Willand Rovers 1-0 Mousehole
Wednesday, August 21 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
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Brixham

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Last Game: Exmouth 0-2 Brixham
Wednesday, August 21 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willand Rovers win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Brixham had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willand Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Brixham win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willand Rovers would win this match.

Result
Willand RoversDrawBrixham
45.95% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)22.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)31.3% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.38% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.66% (0.077999999999996 0.08)36.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09)58.47% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Willand Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)16.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Brixham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.096000000000004 0.1)23.08% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (0.14100000000001 0.14)56.92% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Willand Rovers 45.95%
    Brixham 31.3%
    Draw 22.75%
Willand RoversDrawBrixham
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.3%