FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round

Aug 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

King George V Ground

Exmouth
0 - 2
Brixham

Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Exmouth and Brixham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exmouth

Last Game: Exmouth 1-0 Street
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup

Brixham

Last Game: Brixham 2-0 Saltash United
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brixham win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Exmouth had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brixham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Exmouth win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brixham would win this match.

Result
Exmouth	Draw	Brixham
32.28%	23.68%	44.03%

Both teams to score 61.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.58%

40.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.2%

62.79%

Exmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52%

24.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07%

58.92%

Brixham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33%

18.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.01%

49.99%

Score Analysis

Exmouth 32.28%

Brixham 44.03%

Draw 23.68%

Exmouth	Draw	Brixham
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.28%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.13% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.5% Total : 44.03%