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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Mousehole
2 - 2
Willand Rovers

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Mousehole and Willand Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mousehole

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Last Game: Mousehole 1-4 Exeter
Monday, July 15 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Willand Rovers

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Last Game: Willand Rovers 2-0 St Austell
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mousehole win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Willand Rovers had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mousehole win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.47%) and 3-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Willand Rovers win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
MouseholeDrawWilland Rovers
44.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)20.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05)35.07% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 74.03% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.51% (-0.292 -0.29)24.48% (0.288 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.75% (-0.386 -0.39)44.24% (0.383 0.38)
Mousehole Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)12.3% (0.089 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (-0.185 -0.18)38.08% (0.182 0.18)
Willand Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)15.58% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44% (-0.356 -0.36)44.55% (0.353 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Mousehole 44.22%
    Willand Rovers 35.07%
    Draw 20.7%
MouseholeDrawWilland Rovers
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.02% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 44.22%
1-1 @ 7.47% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 3.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.92% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.51% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.56% (0.045 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 2% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.46% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 35.07%