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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Little Oakley
1 - 4
Berkhamsted

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Little Oakley and Berkhamsted.

Form, Standings, Stats

Little Oakley

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Last Game: Little Oakley 3-1 Dunstable Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Berkhamsted

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berkhamsted win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Little Oakley had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Berkhamsted win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Little Oakley win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Berkhamsted would win this match.

Result
Little OakleyDrawBerkhamsted
29.87% (1.114 1.11)21.98% (-0.118 -0.12)48.16% (-0.994 -0.99)
Both teams to score 66.42% (1.271 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (1.329 1.33)33.31% (-1.328 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (1.506 1.51)55.08% (-1.505 -1.51)
Little Oakley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57% (1.348 1.35)22.43% (-1.345 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04% (1.971 1.97)55.96% (-1.97 -1.97)
Berkhamsted Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63% (0.155 0.16)14.37% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.75% (0.296 0.3)42.25% (-0.295 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Little Oakley 29.87%
    Berkhamsted 48.16%
    Draw 21.98%
Little OakleyDrawBerkhamsted
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.112 0.11)
1-0 @ 4.82% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 29.87%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.144 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.165 -0.16)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.38% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.92% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.13% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.9% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 48.16%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Little Oakley