Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Little Oakley win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Dunstable Town had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Little Oakley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Dunstable Town win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Little Oakley would win this match.
0.47) 
-0.08) 
