FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Little Oakley
3 - 1
Dunstable Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Little Oakley and Dunstable Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Little Oakley win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Dunstable Town had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Little Oakley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Dunstable Town win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Little Oakley would win this match.

Result
Little OakleyDrawDunstable Town
55.89% (0.469 0.47)19.99% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)24.12% (-0.392 -0.39)
Both teams to score 68.48% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.56% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)28.44% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.71% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)49.29% (0.058 0.06)
Little Oakley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.56% (0.10600000000001 0.11)10.44% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.97% (0.236 0.24)34.03% (-0.236 -0.24)
Dunstable Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (-0.298 -0.3)23.54% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (-0.432 -0.43)57.58% (0.433 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Little Oakley 55.89%
    Dunstable Town 24.12%
    Draw 19.99%
Little OakleyDrawDunstable Town
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.072 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.045 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 55.89%
1-1 @ 8.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 19.99%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 24.12%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Little Oakley