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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Robert Parker Stadium

Ashford Town
0 - 2
Herne Bay

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Ashford Town and Herne Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ashford Town

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Last Game: Uxbridge 1-2 Ashford Town
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Herne Bay

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Last Game: Rayners Lane 1-2 Herne Bay
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Herne Bay win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Ashford Town had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Herne Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Ashford Town win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Herne Bay would win this match.

Result
Ashford TownDrawHerne Bay
25.17% (-0.126 -0.13)22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)52.83% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 62.1% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)37.23% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)59.43% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Ashford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41% (-0.137 -0.14)27.59% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)63.12% (0.181 0.18)
Herne Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.24% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)41.99% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ashford Town 25.17%
    Herne Bay 52.83%
    Draw 22%
Ashford TownDrawHerne Bay
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.06%
2-0 @ 3.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.24% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.85% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.83%