Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals

Apr 8, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
0 - 1
Villarreal

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moreno (44' pen.)
Moreno (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Villarreal
37.02%	24.85%	38.13%

Both teams to score 58.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.04%

44.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.69%

67.31%

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06%

23.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84%

58.16%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65%

23.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.68%

57.32%

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 37.02%

Villarreal 38.13%

Draw 24.85%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.31% 1-0 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.02%	1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.13%