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UEFA Conference League

St Patrick's Athletic
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park

St Patrick's
1 - 0
Sabah

Palmer (35')
Palmer (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lepinjica (28'), Luengo (31'), Dasdamirov (74')
Lepinjica (53')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Sabah.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-2 Sligo
Sunday, August 4 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier

Sabah

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sabah 3-6 M. Haifa (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Derry401.54Hoban
2Waterford341.31Amond
3Shamrock331.38Kenny
4Sligo311.19Chapman
5Drogheda281.08Pierrot
6Shelbourne281.12Jarvis
7St Patrick's271.04Kavanagh
8Bohemians251.04Akintunde
9Galway United210.84Walsh
10Dundalk180.69Gullan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Sabah had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Sabah win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawSabah
38.22% (0.042999999999999 0.04)26.74% (0.012 0.01)35.03% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.4% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)74.93% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Sabah Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)29.07% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)64.98% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 38.22%
    Sabah 35.03%
    Draw 26.74%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawSabah
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.22%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.03%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Sabah

St Patrick's Athletic
34.8%
Draw
47.8%
Sabah
17.4%
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