Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaduz win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaduz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.