Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Limassol win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Limassol win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Apollon Limassol would win this match.