UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Tsirion Stadium

Apollon Limassol
1 - 0
Vaduz

Roberge (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Apollon Limassol and Vaduz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Apollon Limassol

Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Apollon Limassol
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Vaduz

All competitions

Last Game: Vaduz 1-2 AZ
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Young Boys	32	2.29	Nsame
2	Grasshopper	26	1.86	Kawabe
3	St Gallen	24	1.71	Akolo
4	Luzern	23	1.77	Meyer
5	Lugano	21	1.50	Celar
6	Sion	20	1.43	Stojilkovic
7	Basel	19	1.46	Burger
8	Servette	18	1.29	Fofana
9	Winterthur	11	0.79	Buess
10	FC Zurich	9	0.64	Okita

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Limassol win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Limassol win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Apollon Limassol would win this match.

Result
Apollon Limassol	Draw	Vaduz
38.6% ( 0.08)	24.56% ( -0.02)	36.84% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 59.35% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4% (

0.09)

43.6% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.01% (

0.09)

65.99% (

-0.09)

Apollon Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

0.08)

22.5% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94% (

0.12)

56.06% (

-0.13)

Vaduz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

0.01)

23.41% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

0.01)

57.41% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Apollon Limassol 38.6%

Vaduz 36.84%

Draw 24.55%

Apollon Limassol	Draw	Vaduz
2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.6%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.84%