Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.