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UEFA Conference League

St Patrick's Athletic
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park

St Patrick's
3 - 1
Vaduz

Mulraney (6', 17'), Redmond (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Del Toro (65')
Emini (16'), Beeli (29'), Krauchi (55'), Berisha (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Vaduz.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 1-0 St Patrick's
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Vaduz

All competitions
Last Game: Neman 1-1 Vaduz
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Servette52.50Crivelli
2Lausanne33.00Diabate
3Basel22.00Barry
4FC Zurich22.00Emmanuel
5Lugano22.00Bislimi
6Sion22.00Chouaref
7Young Boys21.00Ganvoula
8Winterthur11.00Di Giusto
9Grasshopper11.00Morandi
10Luzern11.00Villiger
11St Gallen00.00
12Yverdon Sport00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawVaduz
40.49% (0.329 0.33)24.8% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)34.72% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (0.216 0.22)44.98% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (0.209 0.21)67.33% (-0.208 -0.21)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.256 0.26)22.18% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.38200000000001 0.38)55.58% (-0.381 -0.38)
Vaduz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)25.23% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)59.97% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 40.49%
    Vaduz 34.72%
    Draw 24.8%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawVaduz
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.72%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Vaduz

St Patrick's Athletic
38.5%
Draw
30.8%
Vaduz
30.8%
13
rhs 2.0


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