Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for FC Slovacko had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Slovacko win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	FC Slovacko
45.54% ( 0.06)	23.84% ( -0.07)	30.61% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.06% (

0.33)

41.94% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65% (

0.33)

64.34% (

-0.33)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

0.16)

18.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03% (

0.26)

49.96% (

-0.26)

FC Slovacko Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.17)

26.24% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.22)

61.35% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 45.54%

FC Slovacko 30.62%

Draw 23.84%

FC Koln	Draw	FC Slovacko
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.45% Total : 45.54%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.62%