Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chongqing Dangdai Lifan would win this match.