Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK

Adams Park

Wycombe
1 - 2
Millwall

Kashket (9')
Knight (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wallace (48' pen.), Leonard (63')

Reaction

Wycombe Wanderers manager Gareth Ainsworth celebrates with the League One playoff trophy on July 13, 2020

Gareth Ainsworth bemoans his side's disallowed goal against Millwall

The Chairboys led Millwall thanks to Scott Kashket's bizarre opener but ultimately fell to defeat at Adams Park.

Oct 17, 17:35

The Match

Match Report

Millwall fell behind to Scott Kashket's bizarre opener but would recover to take all three points.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Wycombe Wanderers and Millwall, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Millwall
31.29%	26.61%	42.1%

Both teams to score 51.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.37%

53.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.87%

75.13%

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35%

31.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94%

68.06%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81%

25.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.09%

59.91%

Score Analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 31.29%

Millwall 42.1%

Draw 26.6%

Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.29%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.1%