Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 69.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 3-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	SSV Ulm
69.04% ( 0.11)	17.17% ( -0.02)	13.79% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.69% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.85% (

-0.1)

32.15% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.26% (

-0.12)

53.74% (

0.12)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.56% (

8.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.7%

29.31% (

0.01)

SSV Ulm Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1% (

-0.19)

35.91% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32% (

-0.19)

72.69% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 69.04%

SSV Ulm 13.79%

Draw 17.17%

Hamburger SV	Draw	SSV Ulm
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.98% 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.04%	1-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.17%	1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 13.79%