Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.