Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	SSV Ulm
60.18% ( -1.25)	21.69% ( 0.39)	18.13% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14% (

-0.3)

44.86% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.78% (

-0.29)

67.22% (

0.29)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

-0.48)

14.48% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.54% (

-0.95)

42.46% (

0.95)

SSV Ulm Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.56% (

0.83)

38.44% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81% (

0.79)

75.19% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 60.17%

SSV Ulm 18.13%

Draw 21.69%

Schalke 04	Draw	SSV Ulm
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.69% Total : 60.17%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.69%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.13%