Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.04%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 19.97% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (5.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.