Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.66%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.