Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.