Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.