Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.